{"id":934,"date":"2020-03-24T10:20:54","date_gmt":"2020-03-24T10:20:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/?p=934"},"modified":"2026-09-28T11:38:46","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T09:38:46","slug":"impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-npis-to-reduce-covid-19-mortality-and-healthcare-demand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/2020\/03\/24\/impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-npis-to-reduce-covid-19-mortality-and-healthcare-demand\/","title":{"rendered":"Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nicht-Pharmazeutische Strategien zur Bek\u00e4mpfung von Corona.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/media\/imperial-college\/medicine\/sph\/ide\/gida-fellowships\/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf\">https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/media\/imperial-college\/medicine\/sph\/ide\/gida-fellowships\/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Die Aussichten sind verzweifelnd. &#8222;, sagt Christian Drosten, und folgert, dass wir schneller einen Impfstoff entwickeln m\u00fcssen als sonst. Zur Not unter Umgehung der Regularien.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Adding household quarantine to case isolation and social distancing is the next best option, although we predict that there is a risk that surge capacity may be exceeded under this policy option(Figure 3 and Table 4). Combining all four interventions (social distancing of the entire population, case isolation, household quarantine and school and university closure)is predicted to have the largest impact, short of a complete lockdown which additionally prevents people going to work.&#8220;<\/p>\n<p>Abbildung 3 zeigt, was passiert, wenn man die\u00a0 Ma\u00dfnahmen\u00a0 nach f\u00fcnf Monaten (blau hinterlegter Bereich) lockert. Soll hei\u00dfen, um die rote Linie (Krankenhauskapazit\u00e4ten) nicht zu \u00fcberschreiten, m\u00fcssen die kombinierten Ma\u00dfnahmen bestehen bleiben bis mit Hilfe von Medikamenten eine Abflachung der Kurve erreicht werden kann.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nicht-Pharmazeutische Strategien zur Bek\u00e4mpfung von Corona. https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/media\/imperial-college\/medicine\/sph\/ide\/gida-fellowships\/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf &#8222;Die Aussichten sind verzweifelnd. &#8222;, sagt Christian Drosten, und folgert, dass wir schneller einen Impfstoff entwickeln m\u00fcssen als sonst. Zur Not unter Umgehung der Regularien. &#8222;Adding household quarantine to case isolation and social distancing is the next best option, although we predict that there is a risk that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-934","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bookmarks","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/934","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=934"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/934\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4216,"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/934\/revisions\/4216"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=934"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=934"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jan.schnasse.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=934"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}